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THE FEDERAL RESERVE RATE HIKE:
With this most recent rate hike, it was noted that “Recent indicators of spending and production have softened,” – indicating that – POTENTIALLY – we could start to see the reversal of sky-high consumer prices.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/27/heres-what-changed-in-the-new-fed-statement-red-line.html
Now, in terms of Jerome Powell’s recent conference…on a POSITIVE NOTE, he did mention that they would consider SLOWING the rate increases, IF inflation begins to subside…and, as of TODAY…we could ALREADY be at a “neutral rate of interest,” which means – THIS could be the last of the any MAJOR rate hike, unless we signs of worsening inflation
Of course, keep in mind, that – the NEXT MEETING is going to be in September…so, the following two months are very much going to be a “Wait And See” approach, and then – they can adjust accordingly.
On top of that, Jerome Powell also noted that he doesn’t BELIEVE we’re currently in a recession because we’re in a very strong labor market…and, even IF we see a declining GDP, it’s a GOOD THING to help soften demand…so, from this perspective…he believes it’s actually a POSITIVE, and something TO LOOK FORWARD TO….or, in other words…even if we get a recession…for the federal reserve…it’s NOT really a recession.
He also gave us the indication that, MOST LIKELY…we’ve ALREADY got the largest rate hikes OUT OF THE WAY, and – in the future – they could be much smaller, as the economy begins adjusting back to normal.
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