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Bitcoin crashed after the 2014, 2018 and 2022 midterm elections, and that chart is all over X ahead of the 2026 midterms. In this video I go back through each one and look at what was actually happening in the market during those windows, because in every case the election wasn’t what broke Bitcoin (BTC). I break down the real pattern behind those lows and the piece of it that’s already showing up today.
We cover the end of QE3 and the Bitstamp hack in 2014, the Bitcoin Cash hash war between Bitcoin ABC and Bitcoin SV in 2018, and the FTX collapse in 2022, along with where the Fed was in the business cycle each time. Then we look at 2026: the Fed’s September rate hike back to the same 3.75 to 4% range it had during the 2022 midterms, the hawkish October pause, inflation at 3.7%, and why the jobs report and CPI matter more for Bitcoin this week than the election. A year after each of those midterm lows, Bitcoin was up 24%, 45% and 92%.
CHAPTERS
0:00 The midterm crash chart
1:05 What the chart claims
1:45 2014: QE3 ends and the Bitstamp hack
3:40 2018: The Bitcoin Cash hash war
6:15 2022: The FTX collapse
7:40 What actually broke Bitcoin
8:35 Why it lines up with midterms
9:00 The Fed in 2026
10:15 Leverage and funding check
11:15 Jobs report and CPI dates
11:50 What happened after each low
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This channel focuses on macro crypto analysis, liquidity cycles, and market behavior to help long-term investors understand where we are in the broader financial cycle. I cover Bitcoin, crypto, and altcoins like ethereum, solana, cardano, sui, and more.
This content is for patient capital, not short-term speculation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: The above video references an opinion and is for news/information and entertainment purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice, financial advice, or any solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer that you buy or sell any cryptocurrency or securities. Trading in cryptocurrencies and securities is a high risk activity involving risk of loss so please seek a duly licensed professional for investment or financial advice. The information provided on this video should not be used to make any investment or financial decisions without consulting your financial or investment advisor. This video contains my opinion only and is not intended to cause harm or defame anyone or any entity.